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Home My WebLink About1985-11-25 86-27 ORDER86-27 Introduced by Councilor Brown, November 25, 1985 CITY OF BANGOR (TITLE) Mrb£Xt..._Endorsmg.Application. to State Department of. Educational.. and... ....Lmllural--- Sexx.ices-fux..Funlipli .of..Remoxatlans at .Bangor High School..__ ..... By Bu City Cumong of the City of Bangor: ORDERED, TBAT the application, a copy of which is on file in the office of the City Clerk, for funding of renovations at Bangor High School is hereby endorsed, and that the filing of the same with the State of Maine Department of Educational and Cultural Serdices is hereby approved by the Bangor City Council, Municipal Officers of the City of Bangor. l 86-3y `41 0 A D E H 9m0 O a��m �- Title, In City Council Noveulxn 33,1999 consider next regular or epenial E044CS179.9PB11434147.49.44P49.44Pbrk%ant meeting vote 3 Yea 6 No voting Yoe Tilley,N6eeler-, of Educational B Cultural Services for uilSay Voting No ere m,cox. F9nq ing,9f.R29PY9k'97S .9t,eanggr High SCM10 01 Yranket,Lebonlexo He CaftLy Sullivan vote for passage approved Introoduced filed by pp pppppp ``an1d^^ 00 CounelLnan C ty Clerk l FORK PA 1-8 P R JSCT APPLICATION SCHOOL CO HS T R C T ION Ccamnumity Submitted by C//Y C4655 J CryQf %le-�2% PROJECT NuIDtSR (Fox M.S.O.E.C.S. use only) MINE STATE DEPARTNENT OF EDUCATIONN. AND WLTNRAL SERVICES Division of School Facilities cuts Submitted: 6 DecPmbo. 1985 Admin. Unit BANGOR SCHOOL DR ARTMBNT Add%"" 73 HARLOW SnR Date 6 DBCDNBER 1985 Coma"ionea Raine SUte Vcpaa mi od Ednca nat S CutAuat SelntaU Au "U, Maine 01330 AU'n: piaiaion OA Sehoot Faeif/tteA Vena Sia: AdtU a CatedUt Atdy od achoat EdatititN Mt& in oar . uxu av¢ n the BFAF2=ad=O.iCaatoEO=(Sehaot COMM") hU voted on by a vote o6 6-0 b aequu conaidenation 04 .tire attached and tom at 88 h4401 peCa MUMM, 9Yoaffka. .. Snyn¢d oSchooTA� (To be Coaptcted by att but Scdmot Adw:mUtaative DiatatatA) The S¢G¢¢AWI on City Couneit have vteRmd th" pwp00at and Me—/"e not in agneem nt mi.0 i.0 ptovieioU. COMNEMS: SIGNATURES: PA -2 1. PROJECT OVERVIEW A. Brief statement of need: - __Bangor High school was built fn 1964 to hold 1400 students. On 1 October 148jy 1406 s4Ydgpte w n: enralled�, end, because the building is at design__ =apacity foe student enrollment, exieti� eeppce is not available with which to ccreat_, the yggg§gary science and fine seta teaching areas to enable the School Sgp�$j_ti9.lgy{ggQ Aeadeguiremgn�¢�eeted b ty he Legislature in 1984. Algg. ggpyptgd &ga ee x_eeaea to a_commooaaca ... a amine special eaucatf_ enrollment. B. Brief description of project: - nt_Cgugd1nR shBgfA would be ere Sutlect Area (a) pine Acca: 1. Expand 3 existing rooms, , from 2,304 sq. ft. to 6,986 sq. ft. iinnlnaln e. ric vt nx v WWII) tofpsets i art rooms 2. Construct new choral room, om. 4. Expand exlsting^benroom, from 1,296 eq. ft. to 2,950 sq. ft. l;maie_pg, dcem . :ng csee., by ronosrghjpOB� :w: 2. Construct 1 chemistry laboratory/classroom. 4. Construct 1 physis laboratory/earth science classroom 6. Construct 1 computer/resource room. (a) Other: 1. Construct 1 study hall to replace study hall taken from ^e_apmsgna 2. Construct 1 r m for special education. 1{oar resource ' b4f'e Safety Code Requirements, and to provideappropriate renovated space rpyyn.r: nl 1. Pine Arte, Science L Other. 2,412,000 n tin 000 542_000 It. RATIONALE A. for sea existing school building provide the following: (Attach entre sheets as required.) 1. School neem a date bulla BANGOR HTGH SCHyxx, (CONSTRUCTED TN 1964) 2. Building - 5. Number of rooms 4. Grade levels hoosed:_ g In. 11. ...a p 5. pupils per neon by grade (list): (see attached list of teacher loads.' Mis information details class size. With 71 m operating with 16 Claes modules per day, a per pupil by grade list is extremely difficult to provide.) 6. Designed capacity of building 7. Size of site: 44.6 ACRES C. Description of building condition (refer to rating criteria sheet, first priority): Thp_buji"Mjg_ 1.4061 A `tJ ' .yDO-awdanis�' changes in secondary school curricula mandated by -the -Legislature -ID 1984, however, with the building at capacity, been that the new graduation requirements cannot Ee net without renovation and new construction. N. elrth statistics Using State Department of Health and Wife" Statistics, provide a record of live births within your unit for the past 10 years. 1974 489 1975 468 1996 434 1977 478 1978 425 -1979. _. +469---- 69--.-1980 1980 427 1981 452 1982 488 1983 471 1984 490 C. population Changes I. past III rs - Indicate and eapiain any significant changes in localpopula[ an ower the past 10 years. Include data such as zoning, Industries, public houSIM, trailer parks, ate. 1968 CENSUS 38,912 1979 CENSUS 33.168 1980 CENSUS 31,168 1 JULY 1985 33.250 (Maine Dept. of Human Services) 2. Anticipated 1986 33.650 1987 34,000 1988 34,800 1989 34,700 1990 35.000 1991 '35.350 1992 35.650 - 1993 35.850 SOURCE: Heine Oepargment of Human Services Bureau of Health Planning and Development Division of Data and Research October, 1985 D. Enrollments (total for unit) (1 October 1985) I. List Your current enrol Inane by I L Res. Tuition Total 8 396 TRT - o 156 9 185 25 389 2 2 7R_ IA q42 11 4 qpj 5PAR n PAA_ 6 (rade: zai Poet -Grad 1 0 1 TOTAL 4,231 91 4,}30 n Note: Place a asterisk beside any grades being to tinned out of unit. *"on resident enrollment in two regional special education programa administered by the Bangor School Department and located in Bangor School Department facilities. (12 Hearing Impaired and 14 Multi - handicapped.) Ras. Tuition Total L D 353 8 324 0 124 9 144 25 369 10 176 IA q42 11 12 qpj ial Poet -Grad 1 0 1 TOTAL 4,231 91 4,}30 n Note: Place a asterisk beside any grades being to tinned out of unit. *"on resident enrollment in two regional special education programa administered by the Bangor School Department and located in Bangor School Department facilities. (12 Hearing Impaired and 14 Multi - handicapped.) PA -6 g. Projected Enrolleents (Attach extra sheets as required). a) A minimum of 5 Years projection. See attached cohort survival projection prepared by Cefferelle and Ceffarelle. b) Describe mthod used. Cite airy unusual factors Involved. Cohort survival. See attached page. PA -7 III. PROGRAM Explain briefly now this project will mast program needs in the fol listing areas: A. Enhancement of existing programs. B. Creation of new programs. C. Provision for extraordinary programs. Note: Attach a onpy of your schools schedule. Renovations would create the necessary science and fine ante instructional areas to enable Sensor Nigh School students to set the revised gradmtion requirements enacted bythe begisletare in 1984, end provide needed specx`al education space, rap: as ue rat FA -S IV. FINANCING - A. Bonding capacity $ 59.890.000 30 June 1984 8. Outstanding Indebmess $ 1,661,4470 30 June 1984 C. Suppi amental funds available $ 0 (gifts, building funds, etc.) 21,500,000 1 art teacher - 21,500,000 1 fine arts teacher 0. Estivate additional operational 21,500,000 1 science teacher coats Incurred as a result of 9,000,000 B time custodian this Project; ----- - - $ 4,000,000 utilities 95.500,000 TOTAL E. Can additional, operating. costs be assumed under present funding limitations _. _ -.. -.. ... /—x 7 /-7 No *Vocational Education Region a4 $1,182,368 Other State -funded Issues 410,105 Local Band issue 22 068_994 $3,661,447 Cohort Survival Enrollment Projection for Bangor Maine School Department Actual Enrollment for October of Each Year Prepared on 10/24/85 by Edward P. Caffarella Ceffarelle 8 Ceffarelle, 2322 Wistar St., Richmond, VA 23229 Number 1210/24/8522:25:35 Not Corrected for Local Conditions School Births EDON 1 2 3'. 4 5 6 7 8 9 -30 11 12 Special Year yr number elm sec 70-71 (65) 939 602 571 594 578 560 526 505 532 530 488 510 451 441 119 14 71-72 (66) 868 568 545 542 551 571 535 531 507 518 500 547 421 364 114 44 72-73 (67) 843 510 569 522 491 519 567 509: 524 507 499 500 445 385 127 64 73-74 (68) 676 485 511 444 478 476 491 532 521 504 484 508 473 396 130 71 74-75 (69) 662 536 475 474 417 450 462 474 533 503 512 478 :457 384 142 71 75-76 (70) 706 499 479 414 445 412 449 434 475 507 476 534 463 397 167 66 76-77 (71) 658 459 443 439 382 421 401 426. 415 469 488 509 455 404 158 8 77-78 (72) 539 379 419 409 410 .370 411 382 423 410 457 469 450 412 143 13 78-79 (73) 534 352 394 375 381 376 356 382 352 399 398 456 402 400 140 5 79-80 (74) 487 325 351 352 369 366 345 356'. 360 351 398 441 404 362 135 14 80-81 (75) 468 304 334 343 344 369 362 352 364 360 356 436 379 344 118- 33 81-82 (76) 434 300 333 306 318 329 343 335 366 363 353 389 365 311 125 52 82-83 (77) 478 322 327 290 294 326 304 333 354 347 367 354 302 344 121 67 83-84 (78) 425 295 347 306 285 272 307 315 343 335 354 362 335 297 127 40 84-85 (79) 469 354 314 289 287 266 -271 327 319 330 413 315 328 271 135 54 85-86 (80) 427 356 385 277 275 266 248 270 353 324 348 329 318 314 171 44 Cohort Survival Enrollment Projection for Bangor Maine School Department Projected Enrollment for October of Each Year Prepared on 10/24/85 by Edward P. Caffarelle Ceffarelle Number 8 Ceffarelle, 1210/24/8522:25;35 2322 Minter Not Corrected St., Richmond, for Local VA Conditions 23229 School Year Births yr number NOSE 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 a 9 10 11 12 Spacial elm sec 85-86 (80) 427 356 385 277 275 266 248 220 353 324 348 329 318 314 171 44 86-87 (81) 452 377 .387 347 264 263 248 247 281 342 342 344 295 304 171 43 87-88 (82) 488 407 410 349 330 252 245. 247 258 273 361 338 909 282 172 43 88-89 (83) 471 393 442 370 332 316 235 245 258 250 288 357 303 296 176 42 89-90 (84) 490 409 427 399 352 318 295 234 255 250 263 285 320 290 182 39 90-91 (85) u u 444 385 380 337 296 294 244 247 263 260 255 306 u 36 91-92 (86) u u u 401 366 363 314 295 306 237 260 260 234 244 a 34 92-93 (87) u u u u 381 351 339 313 308 297 250 258 234 224 a 32 93-94 (88) u u u u u 365 327 338 326 298 313 247 231 224 a 34 94-95 (89) u u u u u u 340 326 352 316 315 310 .222 221 a 36 95-96 (90) u u u. u u u u 339 340 341 333 311 278 212 a 38 Survival Rector 0.83 1.09 0.90 005 0.96 0.93 1.00 1.04 0.97 1.05 0.99 0.90 0.96 0.06 0.03 Madel Number 2 2 0 2 1 2 2 3 3 2 1 3 2 Expected Accuracy Correlation Mean Std Deviation 0.94 -1.5 4.9 0.92 -1.8 4.4 0.97 0.1 4.3 0.97 -0.1 3.2 0.97 0.6 316 0.96 0.8 4.5 0.91 -0.4 5.3 0.87 -0.7 5.2 0.97 -0.1 3.0 0.78 -0.8 7.8 0.79 4.0 10.7 0.94 -0.0 7.3 0.81 -0.5 9.8 The letter a indicates that the quantity is unknown. The first line of enrollment on this page is 'actual enrollment. - N _5 1664 1657 1577 1445 1329 1306 1204 1191 Illi 1080 1075 990 924 864 824 789 ;N Cohort Survival Enrollment Projection for Bangor Maine School Department - Actual Totals for October of Each Year Prepared on 10/24/85 by Edward P. Caffarella Caffarella 9 Caffarella., 2322 Winter St., Richmond, VA 23229 - - Number 1210/24/8522:25:35 Not Corrected for Local Conditions YEAR ALL K-5 R-6 R-8 6 -,BB 7-8 7-9 9-_12 10-12 ES -SS K_2 70-71 7021 3431 3936 .4998 1567 1062 1550 1890 1402 133 1767 71-72 6858 3312 3843 .4868 1556 1025 1525 1832 1332 158 1655 72-73 6738 3178 3687 4718 1540' 1031 1530 1829 1330 191 1601 73-74 6504 2885 3417 4442 1557 1025 1509 1861 1377 201 1440 74-75 6368 2814 3288 4324 1510 1036 1548 1831 1319 213 1485 75-76 6217 2698 3132 4114 - 1416 982 1458 1870 1394 233 1392 76-77 5877 2545 2971 3855 1310' 884 1372 1856 1368 166 1341 77-78 5557 2398 2780 3613 1215 833 1290 .1788 1331 156 1207. 78-79 5168 2234 2616 3367 1133 751 1149. 1656 1258 145 1121 79-80 4929 2108 2464. 3175 1067 711 1109 1605 1207 149 1028 80-81 4798 2056 2408 3132 1076 724 1080 1515 1159 151 981 81-82 4588 1929 2264 2993 1064 729 1082 -1418 1065 177 939 82-B3 4452 1863 2196 2897 1034 701 1068 1367 1000 188 939 83-84 4320 1812 2127 2805 993 678 1032 '1348 994 167 948 84-85 4273 1781 2108 2757 976 649 1062 1327 914 189 957 85-86 4278 1807 2077 2754 947 677 1025 1309 961 215 1018 Subtotals for grade groups do not include special education students. Rounding may cause the totals displayed to very alightly from the sum of the individual grades BE and BE are abbreviations for elementary and secondary special education. _5 1664 1657 1577 1445 1329 1306 1204 1191 Illi 1080 1075 990 924 864 824 789 ;N Cohort Survival Enrollment Projection for S Bangor Maine School Department Projected Totals for October of Bach Year Prepared on 10/24/85 by Edward P. Caffarella Caffarella A Caffarella, 2322 Wistar St„ Richmond, VA 23229 Number 1210/24/8522:25:35 Not Corrected for Local Conditions YEAR ALL K-5 K-6 K-8 6-8 7-8 7-9 9912 10-12 ES -SS C=2 3-5 85-86 4278 1807 2077 2754 947 677 1025 1309 961 215 1018 789 86-87 4256 1886 2133 2757 871 623 965 1286 944 214 1111 775 67-88 4277 1994 2241 2771 777 530 891 1290 929 215 . 1166 828 88-89 4302 2088 2333 2840 752 507 295 1243 956 218 1205. 884 89-90 4317 2199 2433 2938 739 504 768 1158 895 221 1235 964 90-91 u u u u 785 491 754 1085 822 u u 1013 91-92 u u u u 838 543 803 999 238 u u 1044 92-93 u u u u 917 605 $54 964 715 u - u 1071 93-94 u u u u 962 624 937 1015 702 u u u 94-95 u u u u 993 668 982 1067 752 u u u 95-96 u u u u 1020 681 1014 1134 801 u u u Subtotals for grade grope do not include special education students. Rounding may cause the total$ displayed to very slightly from the sum of the individual grades. ES and SS are abbreviations for elementary and secondary special education. The first line of enrollment an this page is actual enrollment. S Explanation of the pi actuates and models used with these projections The projections in this report were done with the Enrollment Projection System developed by 0r. Edward P. Caf Earella. The models in the Enrollment Projection System utilize the basic assumptions of the cohort survival enrollment projection methodology. The basis for the cohort methodology is the ratio of students progressing from one grade to the next. The percentage in called the cohort survival factor. The survival factor incorporates normal promotions and retentions but also takes into account other changes such as deaths, -in -migration a{,d out -migration. A survival factor greater than one indicates an Increase to the number of students. A factor less than one indicates a decrease in the number of students. For example, if the enrollment in the third grade is equal to the previous year's second grade enrollment then the survival factor will be 1.00. Similarity, if the fifth gradeenrollment is 90 and the previous year's fourth grade enrollment was 100 then .90 will bthe survival factor." The Enrollment Projection System uses four models to determine the survival factors for each grade. The model selected for each grade is indicated at the bottom of the projections for each grade level. Model number 0 uses an average from all the actual enrollments shown on the report. Model number I also uses all of the actual enrollments but weights the more recent years heavier than the earlier years. Model number 2 uses only the most recentyear to calculate the survival factor.- Model number 3 uses the average of the middle three survival factors from the lest five years. The system testa each model to determine which will project a specific grade most accurately. The models are tested by determining how accurate the models would have been if they had been used in the past. The test statisticsinclude a Pearson product -moment correlation coefficient, a mean percentage of ar, and a standard deviation for the percentage of error. The modal which will yieldthe beet values for these statistics is selected to produce the actual projecticA for a given grade level. LrA Explanation of the procedures and moIdels used with these projections (continued) The Pearson product -moment correlation coefficient shore the closeness of the match between the projected enrollment and the actual enrollment. If the projected enrollment and the actual enrollment for a given grade were always equal, the correlation would be perfect with a value of 1.00. If the match is almost perfect, the correlation will be between 0.9 and 1,0. A correlation between 0.8 and 0.9 is a good match. Generally, if the correlation is lees than 0.7. the match between projected and actual enrollments is not good. The other measures of the expected 'laccuracy are the mean percentage of error between the projected and the actual enrollmentland the standard deviation of this error. An error of 0.02 indicates that the projected and actual enrollments were equal. A value greater than 0.02 indicates that the projection was in euro[ by being too high. Conversely, a value less than 0.02 indicate .that the projection wee too low. For a district with an average class size of thirty, an error of 3.32 indicates that the projection may be in error by one student per classroom. An error of 6.71 indicates an error of two students per classroom. J The mean indicates the overall error for one year into the future. This is an indicator of the accuracy of a particular projected grade. The mean, one year into the future, should be within the range from -52 to +52. The standard deviation indicates the amount of clustering or spread around the mean, A standard deviation close to zero indicates close clustering around the mean. The standard deviation should be within the range from 0% to 102. The Enrollment Projection System methodology has been utilized to prepare several hundred projections. These projections have had an overall's acy rate of 98.62. For mall number of communities there may be changes in enrollment which will be different than the projection. For most districts, however, the projections prepared with the Enrollment Projection System should be on accurate indication of future enrollment All enrollment projections should be updated each year so that the most recent data is used to project the future enrollment. This will insure that the beat possible projection is used for future planning.. S